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robert reich on the stimulus plan

robert reich has a good post over on his blog about the effectiveness of the stimulus plan in the works. he concludes with the inconvenient truth that what the united states needs is for the rest of the world to bail us out. i liked this analogy:

The problem is, people have different views about what’s going wrong. Wall Street sees it as a credit crisis — a mess that seems never to reach bottom because nobody on Wall Street has any idea how many bad loans are out there. Therefore, nobody knows how big the losses are likely to be when the bottom is finally reached. And precisely because nobody knows, nobody wants to lend any more money. A rate cut won’t change this. It’s like offering a 10-pound lobster to someone so constipated he can’t take in another mouthful.

Posted in General.

a trader blows up

here is video from the guy at high probability blog. he took a long futures position and watched it blow up. warning, MUCH salty language ensues. i feel this guy’s pain.

Posted in stocks.

jim cramer again

i have been stuck at rio negro all day watching another shitty day for the market. jim cramer delivered another rant today. he calls out the financials. definitely worth a look.

Posted in General, stocks.

a little overcast

it was a little overcast today, but the swells were pretty nice and i shot a few pics, then blew them out with some saturation and stopped up the exposure a bit.

beach break

Posted in General.

new desktop photo

my new desktop photo

Posted in General.

testing the new camera

i tested out the new camera today out on a small wave day in cocles. here is kristy surfing: (the quality of the vid coming out of the camera is significantly better than what youtube has. i need to figure that out).

Posted in General.

achiever

norbauer has an entertaining and-thought provoking take on new year’s resolutions and GTD. in it he quotes Bennet’s “Principles of Underachievement:”

  • Life’s too short.
  • Control is an illusion.
  • Expectations lead to misery.
  • Great expectations lead to great misery.
  • Achievement creates expectations.
  • The law of diminishing returns applies everywhere.
  • Perfect is the enemy of good.
  • The tallest blade of grass is the surest to be cut.
  • Accomplishment is in the eye of the beholder.

also:

The essential point that we must confront here is that the achievements which seem so important and for the pursuit of which we perpetually torture ourselves are on the one hand futile and the other utterly insignificant. What is the ultimate summit we expect to reach? And if we can’t answer this question, why do we exert ourselves as if we’re heading towards one?

Posted in General.

happy 2008

happy new year

Posted in General.

virtual crack dens

as much as i love running around in virtual worlds and experimenting in new online places, i read an article about marketing virtual worlds to kids today and was reminded of some words in a review of there will be blood that i read yesterday.

 It is this addiction that Anderson focuses on.

America was built on addiction.

Addiction to money. Addiction to tobacco. Addiction to slave labor. Addiction to sugar. Addiction to grain alcohol.

Indeed, the first laws ever written in America, in Virginia in 1619, were against public drunkenness. By the early decades of the 19th century, Americans drank roughly three times as much alcohol as they do today. Purchase any item in a 19th century general store and you were permitted a free ladle of grain alcohol and your child was allowed a free spoonful of sugar.

It kept customers coming back.

i have witnessed how my friends’ kids are transfixed by disney and nickleodoeon’s products (among others). i also have an appreciation for the ginormous sums of cash these companies are pulling in, marketing to kids and creating a generation of überconsumers. virtual worlds, in the hands of these experts, are going to be some of the more addictive things out there. they will definitely keep customers coming back.

“There is a massive opportunity here,” said Steve Wadsworth, president of the Walt Disney Internet Group, in an interview last week.

Behind the virtual world gravy train are fraying traditional business models. As growth engines like television syndication and movie DVD sales sputter or plateau — and the Internet disrupts entertainment distribution in general — Disney, Warner Brothers and Viacom see online games and social networking as a way to keep profits growing.

But more is at stake than cultivating new revenue streams. For nearly 50 years, since the start of Saturday morning cartoons, the television set has served as the front door to the children’s entertainment business. A child encounters Mickey Mouse on the Disney Channel or Buzz Lightyear on a DVD and before long seeks out related merchandise and yearns to visit Walt Disney World.

Now the proliferation of broadband Internet access is forcing players to rethink the ways they reach young people. “Kids are starting to go to the Internet first,” Mr. Wadsworth said.

and i love the last line of the piece. although speaking a language i can appreciate as an investor, it would ring hollow to me were i a parent.

“Parents know they can trust our brand to protect kids,” said Steve Youngwood, executive vice president for digital media at Nickelodeon. “We see that as a competitive advantage.”

Posted in General.

things i am reading

i set up a tumblr page so i can bookmark a page i am reading and have it show up on that page, and in the sidebar of this blog (the tumblr page looks kinda nice too, sweet theme). you can also drop the rss feed into your reader of choice and keep up with things i am reading that way. i mean, if you are into that sort of thing.

Posted in General.